Geoengineering

The origins of weather control are lost in the mists of time. It is found in the ancient myths, as the wind bag gifted to Odysseus by Aeolus, keeper of the winds, to be used during a lull in his journey home to Ithaca. And it is not confined within the realm of unreality. Rainmaking, popular with indigenous people, has been brought to fulfillment in the guise of a contraption called cloudbuster, with which the Austrian psychoanalyst Wilhelm Reich believed that it was possible to manipulate the 'orgone energy' present in the atmosphere and cause rainfall. These gizmos function on a regional scale, if it is true that they work at all. So what are we to make of rain making and cloud seeding in this moment of climate crisis? A global project.

Geoengineering, a polemic trend embraced by tech billionaires, is the potential candidate to assist in this gargantuan task. We are not in the realm of weather anymore, but at the apex of climate system. It is always worth remembering that weather is the condition of the atmosphere over a short period of time, whereas climate, under the computation systems eyes, is weather data compiled in large chunks of historical periods. In a nutshell, climate is the history of weather. Back to the trending, when we speak of geoengineering, we are speaking of large-scale manipulation of the environment in order to halt ―or at least mitigate― climate change induced mainly by human activity.

Earth & Fire

Despite the wide range of proposed techniques, it is practical to group them into two paramount groups: solar radiation management and carbon capture. It is not without reason. While the former, examined by Bill Gates in his last book, is a legendary sci-fi topos, the latter, another bet of Elon Musk (who has announced a prize of $ 100 million for the best application), is considered even by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) as part of the solutions that keeps warming under 1.5 °C. The deployment of sun-dimming technology, contrary to what common sense dictates (the utter blot out of the sun) is in truth the enhancement of sun-reflecting capacity of clouds or surface, through spraying ice nuclei into the atmosphere or editing crops genome to increase the leaves reflection trait.

Carbon sequestration, in turn, can be carried out by huge array of fans laid out to sky, which might remove greenhouse gases by simply sucking them in. This technological solution is as epic or greater as the placement of giant mirrors along coordinates of space —that borders a techno-utopian dream—, even through it is feasible to launch small satellite-sized mirror modules into the orbit of Earth and assemble them as if they were parts of a space station. In any case, part of the difficulty for carbon sequestration technologies is how to store tons of gas. One of the most prominent proposals is injecting carbon directly into geological formations, trapping it for an indefinite amount of time.

Unintended Impacts

The climate is a system of significant magnitude, complex, which depends on a large apparatus to be evaluated. Climate control bets on how the data collected 'in the wild' is modeled and interpreted. Certainly, data analysis always fall short of perfection, due to neglected details situated 'in-between', not to mention the instabilities inherent in the analogical universe. Geoengineering solutions are built upon information accuracy, and can cause unpredictable collateral damage in regions not directly responsible for climate change. Nowadays strong pressure is exerted on the spread of climate justice gospel, and even though the tech billionaires initiatives are not cherry picking, economically or geographically, there is no guarantee that the effects of an application will not rebound in the most vulnerable parts of the world.

This may be felt, now with roles reversed, in the book The Ministry for the Future, by Kim Stanley Robinson, the clashes between international powers and underdog interests are portrayed. Upon seeing his country devastated by a heat wave, the Indian government proposes, by breaking pledge agreements, a tech fix that consists of artificially reenacting the effects of the Pinatubo volcanic eruption of 1991, which, due to its massive scale, resulted in measurable cooling of the Earth's surface. In this fiction, the government's aim was to solve a local problem, because "no one else is fulfilling commitments, no one is paying the developing nations".

What Lies Ahead

The Pick of the Low-

You may want to consider low-tech solutions due to cost and implementation capacity, as natural geoengineering. It is proven that natural processes, such as photosynthesis by tropical trees and the absorption of carbon dioxide by ocean waters, remove and store more than half of the carbon emissions generated by human activities. Afforestation, the establishment of a forest in areas not previously forested, may be the most timely option at this time, hence the importance of initiatives such as Anti-pollution Moss Culture project. A more suitable option would be the restoring of entire ecosystems, which some affectionately call 'geotherapy'.

The Pick of the High-

On the side of high-tech the most promising geoengineering solution today is the combination of biomass burning with Carbon Dioxide Removal (CDR) technologies, a compound named Bio-energy with Carbon Capture and Storage (BECCS). Imagine a huge forest, planted for energy production purposes, next to a factory equipped with chimneys capable of capturing the exhaust carbon and directing it underground. Proponents of this technology, including the IPCC, claim that a biomass draws carbon from the atmosphere as it grows. And its critics say that, in order to gain scale, it would require the planting of forest monocultures, taking the place of areas for food production.